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Nebraska by county: Census 2020–2024

Every adult in Nebraska, as the Census counts them, county by county and grouped by metro area. Each person is a real combination of traits from the Census's anonymised person records, weighted so every county matches its published tables, with party lean and 2024 turnout modelled and labelled so.

93 places, by metro area / county · Team plan

Every plan can look; creating a population from a state by county or by município needs Team.

What each person has

County by county

Adults in each county: darker has more. Point at a county for its numbers.

Adams County: 23,550 adults (1.6%)Antelope County: 4,741 adults (0.3%)Arthur County: 347 adults (0.0%)Banner County: 590 adults (0.0%)Blaine County: 340 adults (0.0%)Boone County: 4,043 adults (0.3%)Box Butte County: 8,017 adults (0.5%)Boyd County: 1,348 adults (0.1%)Brown County: 2,293 adults (0.2%)Buffalo County: 39,087 adults (2.6%)Burt County: 5,228 adults (0.3%)Butler County: 6,406 adults (0.4%)Cass County: 20,927 adults (1.4%)Cedar County: 6,193 adults (0.4%)Chase County: 2,772 adults (0.2%)Cherry County: 4,209 adults (0.3%)Cheyenne County: 7,453 adults (0.5%)Clay County: 4,598 adults (0.3%)Colfax County: 7,387 adults (0.5%)Cuming County: 6,724 adults (0.5%)Custer County: 7,959 adults (0.5%)Dakota County: 15,057 adults (1.0%)Dawes County: 6,655 adults (0.4%)Dawson County: 17,479 adults (1.2%)Deuel County: 1,509 adults (0.1%)Dixon County: 4,143 adults (0.3%)Dodge County: 27,946 adults (1.9%)Douglas County: 441,051 adults (29.5%)Dundy County: 1,384 adults (0.1%)Fillmore County: 4,447 adults (0.3%)Franklin County: 2,270 adults (0.2%)Frontier County: 2,041 adults (0.1%)Furnas County: 3,577 adults (0.2%)Gage County: 16,741 adults (1.1%)Garden County: 1,401 adults (0.1%)Garfield County: 1,367 adults (0.1%)Gosper County: 1,617 adults (0.1%)Grant County: 478 adults (0.0%)Greeley County: 1,693 adults (0.1%)Hall County: 45,382 adults (3.0%)Hamilton County: 7,182 adults (0.5%)Harlan County: 2,224 adults (0.1%)Hayes County: 662 adults (0.0%)Hitchcock County: 1,965 adults (0.1%)Holt County: 7,499 adults (0.5%)Hooker County: 524 adults (0.0%)Howard County: 4,886 adults (0.3%)Jefferson County: 5,535 adults (0.4%)Johnson County: 4,224 adults (0.3%)Kearney County: 5,050 adults (0.3%)Keith County: 6,527 adults (0.4%)Keya Paha County: 620 adults (0.0%)Kimball County: 2,613 adults (0.2%)Knox County: 6,350 adults (0.4%)Lancaster County: 253,417 adults (17.0%)Lincoln County: 26,064 adults (1.7%)Logan County: 557 adults (0.0%)Loup County: 448 adults (0.0%)McPherson County: 375 adults (0.0%)Madison County: 26,552 adults (1.8%)Merrick County: 5,982 adults (0.4%)Morrill County: 3,517 adults (0.2%)Nance County: 2,532 adults (0.2%)Nemaha County: 5,477 adults (0.4%)Nuckolls County: 3,336 adults (0.2%)Otoe County: 12,339 adults (0.8%)Pawnee County: 1,909 adults (0.1%)Perkins County: 2,135 adults (0.1%)Phelps County: 6,822 adults (0.5%)Pierce County: 5,476 adults (0.4%)Platte County: 25,495 adults (1.7%)Polk County: 4,060 adults (0.3%)Red Willow County: 8,190 adults (0.5%)Richardson County: 6,071 adults (0.4%)Rock County: 1,056 adults (0.1%)Saline County: 10,820 adults (0.7%)Sarpy County: 145,441 adults (9.7%)Saunders County: 17,340 adults (1.2%)Scotts Bluff County: 27,185 adults (1.8%)Seward County: 13,530 adults (0.9%)Sheridan County: 3,944 adults (0.3%)Sherman County: 2,337 adults (0.2%)Sioux County: 926 adults (0.1%)Stanton County: 4,346 adults (0.3%)Thayer County: 3,790 adults (0.3%)Thomas County: 501 adults (0.0%)Thurston County: 4,354 adults (0.3%)Valley County: 3,172 adults (0.2%)Washington County: 16,042 adults (1.1%)Wayne County: 7,843 adults (0.5%)Webster County: 2,618 adults (0.2%)Wheeler County: 686 adults (0.0%)York County: 10,962 adults (0.7%)
340441,051adults, on a log scale

Error report

How close these people come to the published figures, and where they fall short.

1,493,958 adults · 78,124 Census records · 93 counties in 5 areas (metro areas and the rest of the state)

Built 2026-10-10 · records nebraska-2024-v1

How close the people land on the Census

Each county's records are weighted until they match its American Community Survey tables. The figure is the worst county's largest gap on each table, in percentage points.

TableWorst county
Sex by age0.5
Race and ethnicity0.5
Education0.4
Household income0.5
Work0.2
Owned or rented home0.3
Citizenship0.0

A check left out of the fit: veterans

Veteran status was not used in weighting, so it shows how well the weighted people carry traits nobody fitted. Per county, the share of veterans among civilian adults lands a median 0.7 points from the Census's own figure; 95% of counties within 3.6, the worst 4.8.

What drawing a population adds

A population is a sample of these weighted people, so small counties vary from draw to draw. Largest gap per county between the people drawn and the county's records, counties with at least 30 people.

Trait10,000 people100,000 people
Median95% of counties withinMedian95% of counties within
Race and ethnicity0.81.60.21.4
Education3.77.90.95.4
Household income1.73.70.43.1

Party lean and 2024 turnout (modelled)

No Census record says how anyone votes, so these two traits are modelled. Each person starts from what Cooperative Election Study 2024 respondents like them (race, age, education and sex, in the Census Midwest) said and did, with turnout checked against the voter file. Each county is then calibrated so its people's turnout and Democratic-minus-Republican margin match its 2024 presidential result (MIT Election Lab). Those results count votes for president, so turnout runs a point or so under ballots cast.

CheckMarginTurnout
Each county against its 2024 result (calibrated)median 0.0, worst 0.0median 0.0, worst 0.0
Demographics alone, given only the statewide resultmedian 34.5, worst 63.0median 4.1, worst 24.0
The same, with priors that never saw anyone from Nebraskamedian 34.3, worst 62.8median 4.1, worst 24.0

Leans against Nebraska's own survey respondents

Nothing was fitted to these: the share of each lean among Nebraska's adults, as modelled and as the CES's Nebraska respondents gave it.

DemocraticRepublicanNeitherTurnout
Model36%49%16%
CES Nebraska (n=350)32%56%12%
Priors that never saw anyone from Nebraska, applied to its 348 citizen respondents39%45%17%59%
CES Nebraska, citizens (n=348)32%57%11%62%

The county totals are right by construction: that is what calibration does. The honest test is the people alone, in the table above: given only the statewide result, how far each county's people land from its margin. Counties that vote very differently from people like them elsewhere in the region land furthest; the map shows where.

Within a county, calibration moves everyone's lean by the same factor, so lean by race inside one county is the weakest part. In the smallest counties the Census's five-year estimates carry wide margins, and where more presidential votes were cast than the estimate of citizens, turnout is held at 98%.

Use these traits to include or compare groups. They are not anyone's stated party, and results are never polls of real people.

Every county (93)
CountyAreaAdultsCensus gapVeterans (Census / people)Turnout 2024Margin: result / demographics alone
AdamsSmall towns and rural Nebraska23,5500.27% / 6%64%−42 / −24
AntelopeSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,7410.26% / 7%74%−76 / −30
ArthurSmall towns and rural Nebraska3470.26% / 10%82%−88 / −28
BannerSmall towns and rural Nebraska5900.310% / 8%72%−81 / −28
BlaineSmall towns and rural Nebraska3400.413% / 9%86%−73 / −34
BooneSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,0430.37% / 7%76%−66 / −31
Box ButteSmall towns and rural Nebraska8,0170.27% / 8%63%−56 / −29
BoydSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,3480.310% / 9%81%−75 / −32
BrownSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,2930.48% / 8%74%−75 / −29
BuffaloSmall towns and rural Nebraska39,0870.26% / 6%63%−45 / −22
BurtSmall towns and rural Nebraska5,2280.47% / 7%71%−45 / −30
ButlerSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,4060.16% / 7%73%−60 / −30
CassOmaha20,9270.111% / 9%76%−37 / −25
CedarSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,1930.38% / 7%80%−70 / −30
ChaseSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,7720.56% / 8%72%−77 / −28
CherrySmall towns and rural Nebraska4,2090.46% / 7%75%−76 / −26
CheyenneSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,4530.37% / 7%62%−64 / −27
ClaySmall towns and rural Nebraska4,5980.46% / 7%73%−63 / −29
ColfaxSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,3870.36% / 6%64%−51 / −25
CumingSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,7240.35% / 7%70%−60 / −29
CusterSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,9590.46% / 7%75%−72 / −29
DakotaSioux City15,0570.34% / 5%48%−30 / −21
DawesSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,6550.45% / 6%58%−47 / −21
DawsonSmall towns and rural Nebraska17,4790.25% / 5%56%−50 / −23
DeuelSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,5090.49% / 8%68%−68 / −29
DixonSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,1430.58% / 6%75%−59 / −29
DodgeSmall towns and rural Nebraska27,9460.28% / 8%63%−33 / −28
DouglasOmaha441,0510.26% / 6%67%+10 / −14
DundySmall towns and rural Nebraska1,3840.44% / 8%68%−79 / −29
FillmoreSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,4470.17% / 7%68%−55 / −29
FranklinSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,2700.27% / 8%71%−70 / −31
FrontierSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,0410.46% / 8%70%−73 / −28
FurnasSmall towns and rural Nebraska3,5770.38% / 8%69%−70 / −29
GageSmall towns and rural Nebraska16,7410.38% / 7%65%−39 / −30
GardenSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,4010.310% / 9%80%−70 / −30
GarfieldSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,3670.17% / 8%74%−77 / −28
GosperSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,6170.55% / 8%69%−63 / −28
GrantSmall towns and rural Nebraska4780.35% / 8%79%−92 / −29
GreeleySmall towns and rural Nebraska1,6930.310% / 8%73%−68 / −31
HallGrand Island45,3820.45% / 6%58%−38 / −25
HamiltonSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,1820.47% / 7%78%−60 / −27
HarlanSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,2240.28% / 8%82%−68 / −29
HayesSmall towns and rural Nebraska6620.212% / 9%77%−92 / −32
HitchcockSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,9650.49% / 9%73%−78 / −31
HoltSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,4990.27% / 7%74%−74 / −28
HookerSmall towns and rural Nebraska5240.26% / 6%81%−74 / −30
HowardGrand Island4,8860.57% / 8%74%−63 / −30
JeffersonSmall towns and rural Nebraska5,5350.27% / 7%67%−45 / −32
JohnsonSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,2240.26% / 7%53%−40 / −28
KearneySmall towns and rural Nebraska5,0500.27% / 7%72%−58 / −26
KeithSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,5270.28% / 8%65%−64 / −29
Keya PahaSmall towns and rural Nebraska6200.35% / 10%91%−84 / −34
KimballSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,6130.45% / 8%67%−67 / −32
KnoxSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,3500.58% / 7%70%−63 / −30
LancasterLincoln253,4170.46% / 6%65%+4 / −18
LincolnSmall towns and rural Nebraska26,0640.28% / 7%64%−55 / −27
LoganSmall towns and rural Nebraska5570.28% / 9%80%−87 / −29
LoupSmall towns and rural Nebraska4480.48% / 7%96%−66 / −27
McPhersonSmall towns and rural Nebraska3750.46% / 9%77%−90 / −29
MadisonSmall towns and rural Nebraska26,5520.36% / 6%63%−56 / −26
MerrickGrand Island5,9820.28% / 7%73%−65 / −30
MorrillSmall towns and rural Nebraska3,5170.37% / 8%71%−68 / −29
NanceSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,5320.27% / 6%73%−60 / −30
NemahaSmall towns and rural Nebraska5,4770.38% / 6%63%−45 / −25
NuckollsSmall towns and rural Nebraska3,3360.49% / 8%68%−64 / −30
OtoeSmall towns and rural Nebraska12,3390.19% / 7%68%−39 / −27
PawneeSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,9090.310% / 8%72%−58 / −32
PerkinsSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,1350.59% / 8%69%−73 / −28
PhelpsSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,8220.38% / 7%74%−68 / −27
PierceSmall towns and rural Nebraska5,4760.26% / 7%72%−76 / −29
PlatteSmall towns and rural Nebraska25,4950.35% / 6%67%−58 / −27
PolkSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,0600.17% / 7%71%−64 / −30
Red WillowSmall towns and rural Nebraska8,1900.57% / 7%66%−68 / −29
RichardsonSmall towns and rural Nebraska6,0710.27% / 7%65%−51 / −30
RockSmall towns and rural Nebraska1,0560.25% / 8%79%−79 / −30
SalineSmall towns and rural Nebraska10,8200.26% / 5%60%−33 / −25
SarpyOmaha145,4410.213% / 12%72%−12 / −17
SaundersOmaha17,3400.17% / 9%79%−46 / −25
Scotts BluffSmall towns and rural Nebraska27,1850.27% / 6%57%−48 / −24
SewardLincoln13,5300.26% / 6%68%−47 / −25
SheridanSmall towns and rural Nebraska3,9440.29% / 8%64%−70 / −28
ShermanSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,3370.38% / 8%72%−60 / −31
SiouxSmall towns and rural Nebraska9260.49% / 9%73%−77 / −28
StantonSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,3460.38% / 7%71%−67 / −29
ThayerSmall towns and rural Nebraska3,7900.16% / 7%76%−61 / −30
ThomasSmall towns and rural Nebraska5010.28% / 9%79%−77 / −25
ThurstonSmall towns and rural Nebraska4,3540.26% / 6%49%−7 / −20
ValleySmall towns and rural Nebraska3,1720.35% / 8%74%−64 / −30
WashingtonOmaha16,0420.17% / 9%79%−42 / −25
WayneSmall towns and rural Nebraska7,8430.44% / 5%55%−49 / −23
WebsterSmall towns and rural Nebraska2,6180.48% / 8%68%−65 / −30
WheelerSmall towns and rural Nebraska6860.410% / 8%74%−76 / −31
YorkSmall towns and rural Nebraska10,9620.46% / 6%65%−51 / −26

Sources

Records
ACS PUMS 2020–2024 5-year, Nebraska, adults 18+
Tables
ACS 2020–2024 5-year tables B01001, B01001B/D/H/I, B15001, B19001, B23025, B25008, B26001; out of sample: B21001
Geography
2020 Census tract to 2020 PUMA relationship file; tract population B01003; metro areas, OMB delineation of July 2023
Citizenship
ACS 2020–2024 5-year table B05003 (raked)
Party lean
Modelled. Priors: Cooperative Election Study 2024 common content (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/X11EP6, CC0), citizen respondents in the Census Midwest, validated 2024 vote and 7-point party ID with leaners as partisans. Calibration: 2024 county presidential returns, MIT Election Data and Science Lab (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/VOQCHQ, CC0), presidential votes standing in for ballots cast.