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Mississippi by county: Census 2020–2024

Every adult in Mississippi, as the Census counts them, county by county and grouped by metro area. Each person is a real combination of traits from the Census's anonymised person records, weighted so every county matches its published tables, with party lean and 2024 turnout modelled and labelled so.

82 places, by metro area / county · Team plan

Every plan can look; creating a population from a state by county or by município needs Team.

What each person has

County by county

Adults in each county: darker has more. Point at a county for its numbers.

Adams County: 22,911 adults (1.0%)Alcorn County: 26,628 adults (1.2%)Amite County: 10,023 adults (0.4%)Attala County: 13,109 adults (0.6%)Benton County: 5,991 adults (0.3%)Bolivar County: 22,261 adults (1.0%)Calhoun County: 10,063 adults (0.4%)Carroll County: 8,011 adults (0.4%)Chickasaw County: 12,718 adults (0.6%)Choctaw County: 6,381 adults (0.3%)Claiborne County: 6,713 adults (0.3%)Clarke County: 11,981 adults (0.5%)Clay County: 14,238 adults (0.6%)Coahoma County: 14,999 adults (0.7%)Copiah County: 21,602 adults (1.0%)Covington County: 13,738 adults (0.6%)DeSoto County: 143,411 adults (6.3%)Forrest County: 60,499 adults (2.7%)Franklin County: 5,858 adults (0.3%)George County: 18,471 adults (0.8%)Greene County: 11,043 adults (0.5%)Grenada County: 16,084 adults (0.7%)Hancock County: 37,292 adults (1.7%)Harrison County: 161,102 adults (7.1%)Hinds County: 167,240 adults (7.4%)Holmes County: 12,232 adults (0.5%)Humphreys County: 5,533 adults (0.2%)Issaquena County: 874 adults (0.0%)Itawamba County: 18,924 adults (0.8%)Jackson County: 112,052 adults (5.0%)Jasper County: 12,381 adults (0.5%)Jefferson County: 5,613 adults (0.2%)Jefferson Davis County: 8,913 adults (0.4%)Jones County: 49,787 adults (2.2%)Kemper County: 7,119 adults (0.3%)Lafayette County: 47,790 adults (2.1%)Lamar County: 49,738 adults (2.2%)Lauderdale County: 54,795 adults (2.4%)Lawrence County: 8,912 adults (0.4%)Leake County: 16,333 adults (0.7%)Lee County: 62,306 adults (2.8%)Leflore County: 19,735 adults (0.9%)Lincoln County: 26,832 adults (1.2%)Lowndes County: 44,093 adults (2.0%)Madison County: 84,534 adults (3.7%)Marion County: 18,527 adults (0.8%)Marshall County: 26,923 adults (1.2%)Monroe County: 26,196 adults (1.2%)Montgomery County: 7,440 adults (0.3%)Neshoba County: 20,978 adults (0.9%)Newton County: 16,018 adults (0.7%)Noxubee County: 7,506 adults (0.3%)Oktibbeha County: 42,713 adults (1.9%)Panola County: 24,714 adults (1.1%)Pearl River County: 44,311 adults (2.0%)Perry County: 8,942 adults (0.4%)Pike County: 29,502 adults (1.3%)Pontotoc County: 23,313 adults (1.0%)Prentiss County: 19,593 adults (0.9%)Quitman County: 4,440 adults (0.2%)Rankin County: 123,267 adults (5.5%)Scott County: 19,915 adults (0.9%)Sharkey County: 2,970 adults (0.1%)Simpson County: 19,745 adults (0.9%)Smith County: 10,900 adults (0.5%)Stone County: 14,887 adults (0.7%)Sunflower County: 19,137 adults (0.8%)Tallahatchie County: 9,355 adults (0.4%)Tate County: 22,013 adults (1.0%)Tippah County: 16,443 adults (0.7%)Tishomingo County: 14,647 adults (0.6%)Tunica County: 6,849 adults (0.3%)Union County: 21,083 adults (0.9%)Walthall County: 10,717 adults (0.5%)Warren County: 32,905 adults (1.5%)Washington County: 31,804 adults (1.4%)Wayne County: 14,802 adults (0.7%)Webster County: 7,532 adults (0.3%)Wilkinson County: 6,522 adults (0.3%)Winston County: 13,648 adults (0.6%)Yalobusha County: 9,703 adults (0.4%)Yazoo County: 19,151 adults (0.8%)
874167,240adults, on a log scale

Error report

How close these people come to the published figures, and where they fall short.

2,259,974 adults · 111,762 Census records · 82 counties in 5 areas (metro areas and the rest of the state)

Built 2026-10-10 · records mississippi-2024-v1

How close the people land on the Census

Each county's records are weighted until they match its American Community Survey tables. The figure is the worst county's largest gap on each table, in percentage points.

TableWorst county
Sex by age0.5
Race and ethnicity0.5
Education0.5
Household income0.5
Work0.4
Owned or rented home0.3
Citizenship0.0

A check left out of the fit: veterans

Veteran status was not used in weighting, so it shows how well the weighted people carry traits nobody fitted. Per county, the share of veterans among civilian adults lands a median 0.6 points from the Census's own figure; 95% of counties within 2.4, the worst 3.4.

What drawing a population adds

A population is a sample of these weighted people, so small counties vary from draw to draw. Largest gap per county between the people drawn and the county's records, counties with at least 30 people.

Trait10,000 people100,000 people
Median95% of counties withinMedian95% of counties within
Race and ethnicity0.71.70.10.3
Education2.88.40.41.4
Household income1.44.70.20.8

Party lean and 2024 turnout (modelled)

No Census record says how anyone votes, so these two traits are modelled. Each person starts from what Cooperative Election Study 2024 respondents like them (race, age, education and sex, in the Census South) said and did, with turnout checked against the voter file. Each county is then calibrated so its people's turnout and Democratic-minus-Republican margin match its 2024 presidential result (MIT Election Lab). Those results count votes for president, so turnout runs a point or so under ballots cast.

CheckMarginTurnout
Each county against its 2024 result (calibrated)median 0.0, worst 0.0median 0.0, worst 0.0
Demographics alone, given only the statewide resultmedian 14.8, worst 47.1median 4.9, worst 27.5
The same, with priors that never saw anyone from Mississippimedian 14.7, worst 47.0median 4.9, worst 27.3

Leans against Mississippi's own survey respondents

Nothing was fitted to these: the share of each lean among Mississippi's adults, as modelled and as the CES's Mississippi respondents gave it.

DemocraticRepublicanNeitherTurnout
Model36%45%19%
CES Mississippi (n=500)36%46%18%
Priors that never saw anyone from Mississippi, applied to its 499 citizen respondents43%37%20%47%
CES Mississippi, citizens (n=499)36%46%18%40%

The county totals are right by construction: that is what calibration does. The honest test is the people alone, in the table above: given only the statewide result, how far each county's people land from its margin. Counties that vote very differently from people like them elsewhere in the region land furthest; the map shows where.

Within a county, calibration moves everyone's lean by the same factor, so lean by race inside one county is the weakest part. In the smallest counties the Census's five-year estimates carry wide margins, and where more presidential votes were cast than the estimate of citizens, turnout is held at 98%.

Use these traits to include or compare groups. They are not anyone's stated party, and results are never polls of real people.

Every county (82)
CountyAreaAdultsCensus gapVeterans (Census / people)Turnout 2024Margin: result / demographics alone
AdamsSmall towns and rural Mississippi22,9110.36% / 5%55%+14 / −9
AlcornSmall towns and rural Mississippi26,6280.55% / 6%58%−68 / −43
AmiteSmall towns and rural Mississippi10,0230.44% / 6%68%−33 / −26
AttalaSmall towns and rural Mississippi13,1090.46% / 5%59%−23 / −22
BentonMemphis5,9910.45% / 5%68%−31 / −26
BolivarSmall towns and rural Mississippi22,2610.33% / 4%47%+24 / +1
CalhounSmall towns and rural Mississippi10,0630.15% / 5%62%−48 / −32
CarrollSmall towns and rural Mississippi8,0110.45% / 6%65%−44 / −29
ChickasawSmall towns and rural Mississippi12,7180.24% / 5%57%−14 / −16
ChoctawSmall towns and rural Mississippi6,3810.25% / 8%61%−49 / −32
ClaiborneSmall towns and rural Mississippi6,7130.24% / 5%53%+68 / +27
ClarkeSmall towns and rural Mississippi11,9810.46% / 8%63%−35 / −30
ClaySmall towns and rural Mississippi14,2380.46% / 7%64%+10 / −4
CoahomaSmall towns and rural Mississippi14,9990.35% / 5%46%+40 / +13
CopiahJackson21,6020.35% / 7%55%−6 / −13
CovingtonSmall towns and rural Mississippi13,7380.16% / 6%65%−33 / −26
DeSotoMemphis143,4110.27% / 8%56%−24 / −25
ForrestHattiesburg60,4990.46% / 6%48%−18 / −21
FranklinSmall towns and rural Mississippi5,8580.37% / 6%70%−40 / −28
GeorgeSmall towns and rural Mississippi18,4710.28% / 8%60%−79 / −45
GreeneSmall towns and rural Mississippi11,0430.47% / 6%52%−70 / −38
GrenadaSmall towns and rural Mississippi16,0840.36% / 5%61%−16 / −20
HancockGulfport-Biloxi37,2920.210% / 9%58%−59 / −44
HarrisonGulfport-Biloxi161,1020.313% / 13%48%−29 / −31
HindsJackson167,2400.46% / 5%53%+46 / +11
HolmesJackson12,2320.24% / 5%55%+62 / +16
HumphreysSmall towns and rural Mississippi5,5330.24% / 4%63%+42 / +15
IssaquenaSmall towns and rural Mississippi8740.23% / 6%71%−1 / −5
ItawambaSmall towns and rural Mississippi18,9240.16% / 6%56%−80 / −44
JacksonGulfport-Biloxi112,0520.510% / 11%47%−40 / −34
JasperSmall towns and rural Mississippi12,3810.16% / 7%64%−5 / −17
JeffersonSmall towns and rural Mississippi5,6130.45% / 5%59%+66 / +19
Jefferson DavisSmall towns and rural Mississippi8,9130.26% / 7%60%+14 / −6
JonesSmall towns and rural Mississippi49,7870.36% / 6%57%−47 / −30
KemperSmall towns and rural Mississippi7,1190.38% / 7%57%+17 / −4
LafayetteSmall towns and rural Mississippi47,7900.35% / 4%50%−22 / −25
LamarHattiesburg49,7380.47% / 7%58%−49 / −32
LauderdaleSmall towns and rural Mississippi54,7950.38% / 8%51%−21 / −20
LawrenceSmall towns and rural Mississippi8,9120.35% / 5%68%−37 / −31
LeakeSmall towns and rural Mississippi16,3330.36% / 6%53%−23 / −22
LeeSmall towns and rural Mississippi62,3060.35% / 5%58%−39 / −29
LefloreSmall towns and rural Mississippi19,7350.22% / 4%48%+38 / +11
LincolnSmall towns and rural Mississippi26,8320.35% / 5%59%−45 / −31
LowndesSmall towns and rural Mississippi44,0930.29% / 8%56%−8 / −17
MadisonJackson84,5340.15% / 5%68%−17 / −21
MarionSmall towns and rural Mississippi18,5270.46% / 7%61%−42 / −29
MarshallMemphis26,9230.25% / 5%57%−7 / −18
MonroeSmall towns and rural Mississippi26,1960.18% / 6%62%−36 / −31
MontgomerySmall towns and rural Mississippi7,4400.46% / 5%60%−21 / −20
NeshobaSmall towns and rural Mississippi20,9780.46% / 6%52%−51 / −33
NewtonSmall towns and rural Mississippi16,0180.47% / 7%59%−43 / −28
NoxubeeSmall towns and rural Mississippi7,5060.34% / 7%60%+48 / +10
OktibbehaSmall towns and rural Mississippi42,7130.55% / 6%44%−0 / −14
PanolaSmall towns and rural Mississippi24,7140.34% / 5%59%−15 / −17
Pearl RiverSmall towns and rural Mississippi44,3110.18% / 9%56%−67 / −43
PerryHattiesburg8,9420.28% / 7%62%−60 / −41
PikeSmall towns and rural Mississippi29,5020.26% / 5%53%−3 / −12
PontotocSmall towns and rural Mississippi23,3130.54% / 5%62%−68 / −38
PrentissSmall towns and rural Mississippi19,5930.36% / 5%53%−66 / −39
QuitmanSmall towns and rural Mississippi4,4400.27% / 5%60%+31 / +9
RankinJackson123,2670.47% / 7%57%−47 / −32
ScottJackson19,9150.36% / 5%53%−24 / −23
SharkeySmall towns and rural Mississippi2,9700.33% / 4%60%+37 / +11
SimpsonJackson19,7450.26% / 7%57%−37 / −27
SmithSmall towns and rural Mississippi10,9000.35% / 6%71%−61 / −37
StoneGulfport-Biloxi14,8870.38% / 8%54%−58 / −38
SunflowerSmall towns and rural Mississippi19,1370.24% / 4%42%+36 / +9
TallahatchieSmall towns and rural Mississippi9,3550.26% / 5%54%+6 / −8
TateMemphis22,0130.25% / 5%59%−44 / −29
TippahSmall towns and rural Mississippi16,4430.16% / 5%60%−67 / −39
TishomingoSmall towns and rural Mississippi14,6470.25% / 6%63%−79 / −49
TunicaMemphis6,8490.44% / 4%39%+39 / +14
UnionSmall towns and rural Mississippi21,0830.45% / 5%60%−70 / −40
WalthallSmall towns and rural Mississippi10,7170.34% / 5%62%−27 / −21
WarrenSmall towns and rural Mississippi32,9050.47% / 7%56%−4 / −13
WashingtonSmall towns and rural Mississippi31,8040.15% / 4%46%+35 / +8
WayneSmall towns and rural Mississippi14,8020.55% / 6%63%−33 / −25
WebsterSmall towns and rural Mississippi7,5320.56% / 7%68%−65 / −38
WilkinsonSmall towns and rural Mississippi6,5220.25% / 5%45%+25 / −2
WinstonSmall towns and rural Mississippi13,6480.46% / 8%62%−18 / −18
YalobushaSmall towns and rural Mississippi9,7030.37% / 5%61%−21 / −26
YazooJackson19,1510.26% / 5%49%−2 / −12

Sources

Records
ACS PUMS 2020–2024 5-year, Mississippi, adults 18+
Tables
ACS 2020–2024 5-year tables B01001, B01001B/D/H/I, B15001, B19001, B23025, B25008, B26001; out of sample: B21001
Geography
2020 Census tract to 2020 PUMA relationship file; tract population B01003; metro areas, OMB delineation of July 2023
Citizenship
ACS 2020–2024 5-year table B05003 (raked)
Party lean
Modelled. Priors: Cooperative Election Study 2024 common content (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/X11EP6, CC0), citizen respondents in the Census South, validated 2024 vote and 7-point party ID with leaners as partisans. Calibration: 2024 county presidential returns, MIT Election Data and Science Lab (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/VOQCHQ, CC0), presidential votes standing in for ballots cast.