Florida by county: Census 2020–2024
Every adult in Florida, as the Census counts them, county by county and grouped by metro area. Each person is a real combination of traits from the Census's anonymised person records, weighted so every county matches its published tables, with party lean and 2024 turnout modelled and labelled so.
67 places, by metro area / county · Team plan
Every plan can look; creating a population from a state by county or by município needs Team.
What each person has
- Age
- 18-2410%
- 25-3416%
- 35-4416%
- 45-5415%
- 55-6417%
- 65-7415%
- and 1 more
- Sex
- Man49%
- Woman51%
- Race and ethnicity
- White53%
- Black14%
- Hispanic26%
- Asian3%
- Other or more than one race3%
- Education
- No high school diploma10%
- High school diploma or GED28%
- Some college or associate's degree30%
- Bachelor's degree20%
- Graduate degree12%
- Household income
- Under $25,00010%
- $25,000–49,99915%
- $50,000–74,99916%
- $75,000–99,99914%
- $100,000–149,99919%
- $150,000 or more23%
- and 1 more
- Work
- Working57%
- Unemployed, looking for work3%
- Not in the labor force40%
- Home
- Lives in an owned home67%
- Lives in a rented home31%
- Lives in group quarters3%
- Marital status
- Married49%
- Widowed7%
- Divorced13%
- Separated2%
- Never married29%
- Children at home
- No children at home71%
- Children at home29%
- Veteran
- Not a veteran93%
- Veteran7%
- Born
- Born in the US74%
- Born abroad26%
- Health coverage
- Has health coverage87%
- No health coverage13%
- Disability
- No disability83%
- Has a disability17%
- Citizenship
- US citizen90%
- Not a US citizen10%
- Party lean (modelled)
- Democratic-leaning38%
- Republican-leaning45%
- Independent or no lean17%
- Voted in 2024 (modelled)
- Voted60%
- Did not vote29%
- Not eligible (not a citizen)10%
County by county
Adults in each county: darker has more. Point at a county for its numbers.
Error report
How close these people come to the published figures, and where they fall short.
18,041,247 adults · 826,897 Census records · 67 counties in 23 areas (metro areas and the rest of the state)
Built 2026-10-09 · records florida-2024-v1
How close the people land on the Census
Each county's records are weighted until they match its American Community Survey tables. The figure is the worst county's largest gap on each table, in percentage points.
| Table | Worst county |
|---|---|
| Sex by age | 0.5 |
| Race and ethnicity | 0.4 |
| Education | 0.5 |
| Household income | 0.5 |
| Work | 0.3 |
| Owned or rented home | 0.4 |
| Citizenship | 0.0 |
A check left out of the fit: veterans
Veteran status was not used in weighting, so it shows how well the weighted people carry traits nobody fitted. Per county, the share of veterans among civilian adults lands a median 0.2 points from the Census's own figure; 95% of counties within 1.7, the worst 1.9. The worst are small rural counties (Lafayette, Hamilton, Dixie), where the people come out a point or two richer in veterans than the Census tables.
What drawing a population adds
A population is a sample of these weighted people, so small counties vary from draw to draw. Largest gap per county between the people drawn and the county's records, counties with at least 30 people.
| Trait | 10,000 people | 100,000 people | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 95% of counties within | Median | 95% of counties within | |
| Race and ethnicity | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| Education | 2.0 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 4.9 |
| Household income | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 2.6 |
Party lean and 2024 turnout (modelled)
No Census record says how anyone votes, so these two traits are modelled. Each person starts from what Cooperative Election Study 2024 respondents like them (race, age, education and sex, in the South) said and did, with turnout checked against the voter file. Each county is then calibrated so its people's turnout and Democratic-minus-Republican margin match its 2024 presidential result (MIT Election Lab). Those results count votes for president, so turnout runs a point or so under ballots cast.
| Check | Margin | Turnout |
|---|---|---|
| Each county against its 2024 result (calibrated) | median 0.0, worst 0.0 | median 0.0, worst 0.0 |
| Demographics alone, given only the statewide result | median 19.5, worst 55.2 | median 2.2, worst 12.6 |
| The same, with priors that never saw a Floridian | median 19.2, worst 53.4 | median 2.2, worst 12.5 |
Leans against Florida's own survey respondents
Nothing was fitted to these: the share of each lean among Florida's adults, as modelled and as the CES's Florida respondents gave it.
| Democratic | Republican | Neither | Turnout | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 45% | 17% | |
| CES Florida (n=4,383) | 39% | 42% | 18% | |
| Priors that never saw a Floridian, applied to Florida's 4,288 citizen respondents | 37% | 46% | 18% | 55% |
| CES Florida, citizens (n=4,288) | 40% | 44% | 16% | 56% |
The county totals are right by construction: that is what calibration does. The honest test is the people alone: given only the statewide result, half of Florida's counties land within 19 points of their margin, closer than Georgia's or Texas's. The worst are small rural counties of North Florida and the Panhandle, which vote 40 to 55 points more Republican than their demographics suggest; Miami-Dade comes out 16 points too Democratic.
Within a county, calibration moves everyone's lean by the same factor, so lean by race or origin inside one county is the weakest part. Statewide, the model has Republican leaners about four points further ahead than Florida's survey respondents do.
Use these traits to include or compare groups. They are not anyone's stated party, and results are never polls of real people.
Every county (67)
| County | Area | Adults | Census gap | Veterans (Census / people) | Turnout 2024 | Margin: result / demographics alone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alachua | Gainesville | 234,712 | 0.4 | 6% / 6% | 62% | +21 / −1 |
| Baker | Jacksonville | 21,535 | 0.2 | 7% / 8% | 70% | −73 / −21 |
| Bay | Panama City-Panama City Beach | 147,011 | 0.2 | 14% / 13% | 70% | −47 / −21 |
| Bradford | Small towns and rural Florida | 22,170 | 0.2 | 8% / 9% | 63% | −57 / −22 |
| Brevard | Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville | 518,525 | 0.4 | 13% / 13% | 72% | −21 / −20 |
| Broward | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach | 1,566,792 | 0.2 | 4% / 4% | 66% | +17 / −0 |
| Calhoun | Small towns and rural Florida | 10,824 | 0.5 | 9% / 8% | 61% | −68 / −26 |
| Charlotte | Punta Gorda | 177,416 | 0.2 | 11% / 11% | 72% | −34 / −32 |
| Citrus | Homosassa Springs | 138,536 | 0.2 | 13% / 13% | 72% | −46 / −34 |
| Clay | Jacksonville | 175,585 | 0.5 | 16% / 16% | 74% | −39 / −18 |
| Collier | Naples-Marco Island | 333,375 | 0.1 | 6% / 6% | 75% | −33 / −25 |
| Columbia | Small towns and rural Florida | 55,882 | 0.3 | 11% / 10% | 62% | −50 / −20 |
| DeSoto | Small towns and rural Florida | 29,037 | 0.3 | 8% / 8% | 48% | −43 / −25 |
| Dixie | Small towns and rural Florida | 14,004 | 0.5 | 9% / 10% | 59% | −70 / −33 |
| Duval | Jacksonville | 794,100 | 0.4 | 10% / 10% | 63% | −1 / −2 |
| Escambia | Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent | 257,834 | 0.1 | 14% / 14% | 65% | −20 / −10 |
| Flagler | Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach | 106,193 | 0.4 | 11% / 11% | 78% | −28 / −24 |
| Franklin | Small towns and rural Florida | 10,615 | 0.3 | 10% / 10% | 65% | −44 / −25 |
| Gadsden | Tallahassee | 34,067 | 0.4 | 7% / 7% | 67% | +31 / +11 |
| Gilchrist | Gainesville | 15,003 | 0.3 | 10% / 10% | 73% | −68 / −31 |
| Glades | Small towns and rural Florida | 10,901 | 0.2 | 9% / 9% | 53% | −53 / −23 |
| Gulf | Small towns and rural Florida | 12,849 | 0.4 | 10% / 10% | 69% | −54 / −23 |
| Hamilton | Small towns and rural Florida | 10,816 | 0.2 | 7% / 8% | 54% | −39 / −14 |
| Hardee | Small towns and rural Florida | 19,405 | 0.2 | 5% / 7% | 46% | −56 / −22 |
| Hendry | Small towns and rural Florida | 31,810 | 0.5 | 4% / 5% | 53% | −38 / −12 |
| Hernando | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater | 168,665 | 0.3 | 11% / 11% | 68% | −37 / −27 |
| Highlands | Sebring | 88,071 | 0.3 | 11% / 10% | 62% | −41 / −28 |
| Hillsborough | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater | 1,193,557 | 0.5 | 7% / 7% | 63% | −3 / −7 |
| Holmes | Small towns and rural Florida | 15,522 | 0.1 | 9% / 10% | 59% | −80 / −31 |
| Indian River | Sebastian-Vero Beach-West Vero Corridor | 141,850 | 0.3 | 10% / 10% | 72% | −27 / −27 |
| Jackson | Small towns and rural Florida | 39,115 | 0.4 | 8% / 8% | 57% | −46 / −16 |
| Jefferson | Tallahassee | 12,502 | 0.4 | 10% / 9% | 69% | −19 / −13 |
| Lafayette | Small towns and rural Florida | 6,747 | 0.3 | 7% / 8% | 59% | −76 / −23 |
| Lake | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford | 334,459 | 0.2 | 10% / 10% | 71% | −25 / −22 |
| Lee | Cape Coral-Fort Myers | 677,356 | 0.4 | 8% / 8% | 65% | −28 / −25 |
| Leon | Tallahassee | 242,488 | 0.3 | 6% / 6% | 67% | +22 / +2 |
| Levy | Gainesville | 36,590 | 0.3 | 10% / 11% | 68% | −50 / −28 |
| Liberty | Small towns and rural Florida | 6,181 | 0.3 | 6% / 8% | 58% | −67 / −23 |
| Madison | Small towns and rural Florida | 14,893 | 0.3 | 9% / 9% | 63% | −29 / −9 |
| Manatee | North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota | 354,610 | 0.4 | 9% / 9% | 70% | −24 / −24 |
| Marion | Ocala | 325,035 | 0.1 | 11% / 11% | 69% | −32 / −24 |
| Martin | Port St. Lucie | 136,042 | 0.4 | 9% / 9% | 76% | −31 / −28 |
| Miami-Dade | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach | 2,190,277 | 0.4 | 2% / 2% | 66% | −11 / +5 |
| Monroe | Small towns and rural Florida | 69,029 | 0.2 | 8% / 8% | 71% | −18 / −22 |
| Nassau | Jacksonville | 78,936 | 0.1 | 11% / 10% | 84% | −47 / −24 |
| Okaloosa | Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin | 167,673 | 0.5 | 20% / 21% | 72% | −42 / −16 |
| Okeechobee | Small towns and rural Florida | 32,095 | 0.3 | 8% / 8% | 54% | −54 / −25 |
| Orange | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford | 1,157,295 | 0.4 | 5% / 5% | 61% | +14 / −1 |
| Osceola | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford | 325,363 | 0.5 | 6% / 6% | 62% | −1 / −5 |
| Palm Beach | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach | 1,244,690 | 0.1 | 5% / 5% | 69% | +1 / −14 |
| Pasco | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater | 487,666 | 0.1 | 10% / 10% | 69% | −25 / −23 |
| Pinellas | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater | 814,900 | 0.2 | 8% / 8% | 67% | −5 / −21 |
| Polk | Lakeland-Winter Haven | 616,747 | 0.4 | 7% / 7% | 61% | −21 / −16 |
| Putnam | Small towns and rural Florida | 59,210 | 0.2 | 11% / 10% | 63% | −48 / −26 |
| St. Johns | Jacksonville | 240,741 | 0.4 | 10% / 10% | 85% | −31 / −20 |
| St. Lucie | Port St. Lucie | 289,599 | 0.3 | 9% / 8% | 69% | −9 / −14 |
| Santa Rosa | Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent | 155,222 | 0.4 | 17% / 17% | 74% | −51 / −21 |
| Sarasota | North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota | 395,222 | 0.3 | 9% / 9% | 74% | −18 / −28 |
| Seminole | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford | 382,555 | 0.2 | 7% / 7% | 71% | −4 / −11 |
| Sumter | Wildwood-The Villages | 133,163 | 0.3 | 14% / 13% | 81% | −38 / −34 |
| Suwannee | Small towns and rural Florida | 35,871 | 0.2 | 10% / 10% | 63% | −61 / −25 |
| Taylor | Small towns and rural Florida | 17,138 | 0.4 | 9% / 9% | 60% | −60 / −23 |
| Union | Small towns and rural Florida | 12,287 | 0.3 | 9% / 9% | 52% | −68 / −23 |
| Volusia | Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach | 478,798 | 0.4 | 10% / 10% | 67% | −22 / −22 |
| Wakulla | Tallahassee | 28,073 | 0.4 | 10% / 9% | 72% | −44 / −21 |
| Walton | Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin | 65,598 | 0.4 | 10% / 11% | 79% | −58 / −25 |
| Washington | Panama City-Panama City Beach | 20,419 | 0.2 | 9% / 9% | 62% | −65 / −25 |
Sources
- Records
- ACS PUMS 2020–2024 5-year, Florida, adults 18+
- Tables
- ACS 2020–2024 5-year tables B01001, B01001B/D/H/I, B15001, B19001, B23025, B25008, B26001; out of sample: B21001
- Geography
- 2020 Census tract to 2020 PUMA relationship file; tract population B01003; metro areas, OMB delineation of July 2023
- Citizenship
- ACS 2020–2024 5-year table B05003 (raked)
- Party lean
- Modelled. Priors: Cooperative Election Study 2024 common content (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/X11EP6, CC0), citizen respondents in the Census South, validated 2024 vote and 7-point party ID with leaners as partisans. Calibration: 2024 county presidential returns, MIT Election Data and Science Lab (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/VOQCHQ, CC0), presidential votes standing in for ballots cast.