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Colorado by county: Census 2020–2024

Every adult in Colorado, as the Census counts them, county by county and grouped by metro area. Each person is a real combination of traits from the Census's anonymised person records, weighted so every county matches its published tables, with party lean and 2024 turnout modelled and labelled so.

64 places, by metro area / county · Team plan

Every plan can look; creating a population from a state by county or by município needs Team.

What each person has

County by county

Adults in each county: darker has more. Point at a county for its numbers.

Rio Grande County: 9,040 adults (0.2%)Clear Creek County: 7,892 adults (0.2%)Baca County: 2,660 adults (0.1%)Yuma County: 7,203 adults (0.2%)Dolores County: 2,092 adults (0.0%)Arapahoe County: 510,782 adults (11.0%)Montezuma County: 20,944 adults (0.5%)Pitkin County: 14,501 adults (0.3%)Park County: 15,353 adults (0.3%)Washington County: 3,760 adults (0.1%)Larimer County: 300,029 adults (6.5%)Boulder County: 271,246 adults (5.9%)Gilpin County: 4,934 adults (0.1%)Otero County: 14,089 adults (0.3%)Rio Blanco County: 4,955 adults (0.1%)Morgan County: 22,152 adults (0.5%)Costilla County: 2,936 adults (0.1%)Broomfield County: 60,689 adults (1.3%)Jefferson County: 472,407 adults (10.2%)Summit County: 25,971 adults (0.6%)Prowers County: 8,803 adults (0.2%)Las Animas County: 11,821 adults (0.3%)El Paso County: 571,272 adults (12.3%)Kiowa County: 1,078 adults (0.0%)Jackson County: 1,140 adults (0.0%)Kit Carson County: 5,188 adults (0.1%)Denver County: 589,362 adults (12.7%)Montrose County: 35,032 adults (0.8%)Eagle County: 43,867 adults (0.9%)San Miguel County: 6,543 adults (0.1%)Teller County: 20,936 adults (0.5%)Bent County: 4,660 adults (0.1%)Mineral County: 643 adults (0.0%)Weld County: 261,124 adults (5.6%)Moffat County: 10,010 adults (0.2%)Lincoln County: 4,586 adults (0.1%)Huerfano County: 5,884 adults (0.1%)Cheyenne County: 1,355 adults (0.0%)Elbert County: 21,955 adults (0.5%)San Juan County: 631 adults (0.0%)Lake County: 6,011 adults (0.1%)Delta County: 25,569 adults (0.6%)Ouray County: 4,448 adults (0.1%)Garfield County: 47,140 adults (1.0%)Logan County: 17,135 adults (0.4%)Mesa County: 126,191 adults (2.7%)Douglas County: 288,852 adults (6.2%)Conejos County: 5,627 adults (0.1%)Gunnison County: 14,627 adults (0.3%)Chaffee County: 17,374 adults (0.4%)Crowley County: 4,912 adults (0.1%)Fremont County: 41,698 adults (0.9%)Pueblo County: 132,452 adults (2.9%)Custer County: 4,528 adults (0.1%)Phillips County: 3,351 adults (0.1%)Routt County: 20,772 adults (0.4%)Hinsdale County: 819 adults (0.0%)La Plata County: 46,464 adults (1.0%)Grand County: 13,360 adults (0.3%)Saguache County: 5,406 adults (0.1%)Alamosa County: 12,642 adults (0.3%)Sedgwick County: 1,794 adults (0.0%)Adams County: 398,386 adults (8.6%)Archuleta County: 11,579 adults (0.3%)
631589,362adults, on a log scale

Error report

How close these people come to the published figures, and where they fall short.

4,630,662 adults · 235,480 Census records · 64 counties in 8 areas (metro areas and the rest of the state)

Built 2026-10-09 · records colorado-2024-v1

How close the people land on the Census

Each county's records are weighted until they match its American Community Survey tables. The figure is the worst county's largest gap on each table, in percentage points.

TableWorst county
Sex by age0.5
Race and ethnicity0.4
Education0.5
Household income0.5
Work0.3
Owned or rented home0.2
Citizenship0.0

A check left out of the fit: veterans

Veteran status was not used in weighting, so it shows how well the weighted people carry traits nobody fitted. Per county, the share of veterans among civilian adults lands a median 0.8 points from the Census's own figure; 95% of counties within 3.3, the worst 6.8.

What drawing a population adds

A population is a sample of these weighted people, so small counties vary from draw to draw. Largest gap per county between the people drawn and the county's records, counties with at least 30 people.

Trait10,000 people100,000 people
Median95% of counties withinMedian95% of counties within
Race and ethnicity0.61.80.21.2
Education2.78.80.94.5
Household income1.84.80.42.5

Party lean and 2024 turnout (modelled)

No Census record says how anyone votes, so these two traits are modelled. Each person starts from what Cooperative Election Study 2024 respondents like them (race, age, education and sex, in the Census West) said and did, with turnout checked against the voter file. Each county is then calibrated so its people's turnout and Democratic-minus-Republican margin match its 2024 presidential result (MIT Election Lab). Those results count votes for president, so turnout runs a point or so under ballots cast.

CheckMarginTurnout
Each county against its 2024 result (calibrated)median 0.0, worst 0.0median 0.0, worst 19.1
Demographics alone, given only the statewide resultmedian 28.2, worst 76.3median 3.6, worst 33.9
The same, with priors that never saw anyone from Coloradomedian 28.3, worst 76.4median 3.7, worst 34.0

Leans against Colorado's own survey respondents

Nothing was fitted to these: the share of each lean among Colorado's adults, as modelled and as the CES's Colorado respondents gave it.

DemocraticRepublicanNeitherTurnout
Model47%35%17%
CES Colorado (n=1,044)43%39%18%
Priors that never saw anyone from Colorado, applied to its 1,029 citizen respondents47%36%17%60%
CES Colorado, citizens (n=1,029)42%40%18%62%

The county totals are right by construction: that is what calibration does. The honest test is the people alone, in the table above: given only the statewide result, how far each county's people land from its margin. Counties that vote very differently from people like them elsewhere in the region land furthest; the map shows where.

Within a county, calibration moves everyone's lean by the same factor, so lean by race inside one county is the weakest part. In the smallest counties the Census's five-year estimates carry wide margins, and where more presidential votes were cast than the estimate of citizens, turnout is held at 98%.

Use these traits to include or compare groups. They are not anyone's stated party, and results are never polls of real people.

Every county (64)
CountyAreaAdultsCensus gapVeterans (Census / people)Turnout 2024Margin: result / demographics alone
AdamsDenver-Aurora-Centennial398,3860.26% / 6%67%+9 / +11
AlamosaSmall towns and rural Colorado12,6420.13% / 5%62%−11 / +16
ArapahoeDenver-Aurora-Centennial510,7820.57% / 7%70%+20 / +14
ArchuletaSmall towns and rural Colorado11,5790.210% / 9%83%−14 / +2
BacaSmall towns and rural Colorado2,6600.26% / 7%78%−70 / −5
BentSmall towns and rural Colorado4,6600.27% / 6%48%−39 / +1
BoulderBoulder271,2460.54% / 5%77%+56 / +15
BroomfieldDenver-Aurora-Centennial60,6890.46% / 5%82%+29 / +12
ChaffeeSmall towns and rural Colorado17,3740.37% / 9%84%+14 / +4
CheyenneSmall towns and rural Colorado1,3550.38% / 9%80%−78 / −2
Clear CreekDenver-Aurora-Centennial7,8920.44% / 6%78%+17 / +6
ConejosSmall towns and rural Colorado5,6270.46% / 7%75%−18 / +11
CostillaSmall towns and rural Colorado2,9360.412% / 9%74%+15 / +11
CrowleySmall towns and rural Colorado4,9120.47% / 6%35%−47 / −2
CusterSmall towns and rural Colorado4,5280.312% / 10%86%−36 / −2
DeltaSmall towns and rural Colorado25,5690.49% / 9%77%−36 / −6
DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial589,3620.44% / 4%67%+56 / +21
DoloresSmall towns and rural Colorado2,0920.212% / 11%68%−53 / −9
DouglasDenver-Aurora-Centennial288,8520.37% / 7%88%−7 / +11
EagleSmall towns and rural Colorado43,8670.25% / 5%71%+24 / +9
ElbertDenver-Aurora-Centennial21,9550.19% / 8%94%−51 / −1
El PasoColorado Springs571,2720.416% / 15%69%−10 / +11
FremontSmall towns and rural Colorado41,6980.311% / 9%62%−38 / −5
GarfieldSmall towns and rural Colorado47,1400.36% / 6%72%+2 / +6
GilpinDenver-Aurora-Centennial4,9340.27% / 7%85%+13 / +6
GrandSmall towns and rural Colorado13,3600.49% / 6%76%−1 / +0
GunnisonSmall towns and rural Colorado14,6270.25% / 6%76%+29 / +13
HinsdaleSmall towns and rural Colorado8190.311% / 9%74%−12 / +3
HuerfanoSmall towns and rural Colorado5,8840.310% / 12%76%−9 / −0
JacksonSmall towns and rural Colorado1,1400.115% / 9%73%−55 / −4
JeffersonDenver-Aurora-Centennial472,4070.16% / 6%79%+19 / +9
KiowaSmall towns and rural Colorado1,0780.25% / 8%83%−74 / −7
Kit CarsonSmall towns and rural Colorado5,1880.28% / 8%75%−68 / −4
LakeSmall towns and rural Colorado6,0110.27% / 6%73%+16 / +13
La PlataSmall towns and rural Colorado46,4640.27% / 7%78%+19 / +7
LarimerFort Collins-Loveland300,0290.36% / 6%78%+18 / +11
Las AnimasSmall towns and rural Colorado11,8210.39% / 8%68%−14 / +4
LincolnSmall towns and rural Colorado4,5860.46% / 7%57%−64 / −3
LoganSmall towns and rural Colorado17,1350.27% / 7%61%−57 / −2
MesaGrand Junction126,1910.110% / 10%75%−24 / +1
MineralSmall towns and rural Colorado6430.310% / 10%117%−13 / +0
MoffatSmall towns and rural Colorado10,0100.310% / 7%69%−63 / −5
MontezumaSmall towns and rural Colorado20,9440.29% / 8%73%−21 / −1
MontroseSmall towns and rural Colorado35,0320.29% / 8%77%−33 / −2
MorganSmall towns and rural Colorado22,1520.17% / 7%67%−49 / +3
OteroSmall towns and rural Colorado14,0890.37% / 7%65%−26 / +6
OuraySmall towns and rural Colorado4,4480.310% / 10%94%+21 / +2
ParkDenver-Aurora-Centennial15,3530.310% / 10%79%−17 / +1
PhillipsSmall towns and rural Colorado3,3510.48% / 8%78%−63 / +2
PitkinSmall towns and rural Colorado14,5010.45% / 6%81%+44 / +8
ProwersSmall towns and rural Colorado8,8030.29% / 6%62%−51 / +5
PuebloPueblo132,4520.39% / 8%66%−5 / +8
Rio BlancoSmall towns and rural Colorado4,9550.59% / 8%78%−64 / −2
Rio GrandeSmall towns and rural Colorado9,0400.27% / 7%71%−23 / +9
RouttSmall towns and rural Colorado20,7720.45% / 7%82%+28 / +6
SaguacheSmall towns and rural Colorado5,4060.29% / 8%65%+4 / +5
San JuanSmall towns and rural Colorado6310.23% / 7%101%+32 / +12
San MiguelSmall towns and rural Colorado6,5430.46% / 7%76%+49 / +8
SedgwickSmall towns and rural Colorado1,7940.59% / 9%78%−56 / −2
SummitSmall towns and rural Colorado25,9710.36% / 5%72%+37 / +9
TellerColorado Springs20,9360.516% / 19%79%−35 / −2
WashingtonSmall towns and rural Colorado3,7600.36% / 8%77%−75 / −4
WeldGreeley261,1240.27% / 7%74%−21 / +7
YumaSmall towns and rural Colorado7,2030.45% / 7%75%−65 / −1

Sources

Records
ACS PUMS 2020–2024 5-year, Colorado, adults 18+
Tables
ACS 2020–2024 5-year tables B01001, B01001B/D/H/I, B15001, B19001, B23025, B25008, B26001; out of sample: B21001
Geography
2020 Census tract to 2020 PUMA relationship file; tract population B01003; metro areas, OMB delineation of July 2023
Citizenship
ACS 2020–2024 5-year table B05003 (raked)
Party lean
Modelled. Priors: Cooperative Election Study 2024 common content (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/X11EP6, CC0), citizen respondents in the Census West, validated 2024 vote and 7-point party ID with leaners as partisans. Calibration: 2024 county presidential returns, MIT Election Data and Science Lab (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/VOQCHQ, CC0), presidential votes standing in for ballots cast.